NBA国王vs马刺预测

  • 时间：2026-02-11|
  • 来源：92

国王与马刺的这场对决，绝对算是西部“潜力股”之间的较量。一边是萨克拉门托青年军冲击季后赛的关键战，另一边是圣安东尼奥重建路上的试金石。这场比赛到底谁能占上风？咱们从几个角度仔细唠唠。

一、近期状态：国王的“油门”踩得更猛

先说国王队，最近5场赢了4场，福克斯和萨博尼斯的双核驱动确实稳得离谱。特别是福克斯，关键时刻那个突破速度，简直像装了推进器。不过他们的三分命中率有点波动，上场打雷霆三分球30中9，这要碰上马刺的联防…


马刺这边就有点“过山车”了，刚爆冷赢了雷霆，转头就被火箭打崩20分。文班亚马的数据倒是越来越好看，场均21+10的数据配上2.8盖帽，但队友稳定性太差，好几次看他空砍30分输球，属实心疼。

二、对位分析：禁区争夺定胜负

  • 内线肉搏战：萨博尼斯vs文班亚马堪称世纪对决。小萨的策应能力能让国王外线开花，但文班2米26的臂展可能直接封死传球路线
  • 后卫线较量：福克斯的速度对上瓦塞尔的防守，这组对决可能直接决定比赛节奏
  • 板凳深度：国王蒙克领衔的替补场均能轰38分，马刺的替补得分却排在联盟倒数

三、X因素盘点

先说伤病情况，国王这边凯文·赫尔特还在养伤，外线火力少了个重要支点。马刺的科林斯脚踝有伤，内线轮换可能吃紧。


盘口方面初开国王让7.5分，这个让分说实话有点暧昧。考虑到马刺最近5个客场输了4场，但分差都在10分以内，很可能卡着盘口打。要是文班能早早造成小萨两次犯规，局面立马就会翻转。

四、胜负预测

综合来看，国王主场赢面在六成左右。他们需要做好两点：一是控制失误（马刺场均抢断联盟前五），二是限制文班的接球路线。如果马刺的三分能开到35%以上，说不定能爆冷。


个人觉得最终比分可能在国王118-112马刺，让分建议走国王-7.5，大小分倾向于大分（盘口231.5）。不过篮球是圆的，万一马刺年轻人突然集体爆发，咱们也别太意外。

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