布赖顿vs水晶宫分析

  • 时间：2026-02-11|
  • 来源：88

本周末英超联赛迎来一场南部德比，布赖顿与水晶宫的对决堪称“矛盾之战”。两队近年交锋火药味十足，本文将从战术打法、伤病影响、历史数据等维度深度剖析，带您看懂这场比赛的隐藏看点。

战术层面的左右互搏

先说布赖顿这边，德泽尔比这套“技术流中场绞杀”的玩法，最近遇到点麻烦。三笘薰伤愈后状态还没找回来，左边路突击效率直接打了五折。不过他们那个“双后腰前插”的套路还是够狠——吉尔摩和格罗斯轮流前压，经常能把对手防线扯出空当。

水晶宫这边就更有意思了，格拉斯纳接手后明显在玩“防守反击plus版”。埃泽和奥利塞这两个边锋现在回防深度加深了15米，反击时却又能三秒内突到对方禁区。特别是埃泽那个内切变向，我数了数最近三场，平均每场能骗倒三个防守球员。

伤病名单里的胜负手

  • 布赖顿：左边卫埃斯图皮尼安膝盖伤情反复，替补的米尔纳速度明显跟不上，这个点可能被水晶宫重点针对
  • 水晶宫：主力中卫格伊复出成疑，38岁的老将丹恩可能要顶班，高空球防守存在隐患
  • X因素：两队门将都保持全勤，斯蒂尔vs约翰斯通的门线对决值得关注

历史数据的魔鬼细节

翻看过去五个赛季的交手记录，发现个有趣现象：主场优势在这组对决中基本不存在。布赖顿近三次主场面对水晶宫，居然只拿到1平2负。更邪门的是，有4次对决中出现80分钟后的绝杀球，这说明两队体能分配可能都有问题。

还有个数据值得玩味——两队相遇时角球数场均14.3个，比联赛平均值高出27%。考虑到布赖顿本赛季角球进攻转化率排英超第三，水晶宫这方面可得小心了。

胜负天平往哪边斜

现在盘口给到布赖顿让半球，这个力度说实话有点暧昧。从战术克制角度看，水晶宫的密集防守可能让布赖顿的传控踢得难受，但反过来，布赖顿中场的技术优势又能压制对手的反击发起点。

个人觉得这场胜负可能系于两点：一是三笘薰能不能找回五成功力，二是水晶宫能不能在前30分钟顶住压力。如果打成平局，比分大概率会是1-1，但要是有球队先破门，很可能就收不住场面了。

相关标签

热门直播

2.8884
关
大
基本信息
SQL
$_GET
$_POST
$_COOKIE
包含文件
自动加载
  1. 模型: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/model/
  2. 视图: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/view/default/article_show.htm
  3. 控制器: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/control/show_control.class.php
  4. 日志目录: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/log/
  5. 当前页面: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/index.php
  6. 当前时间: 2026-02-13 00:29:41
  7. 当前网协: 216.73.216.2
  8. 请求路径: /zuqiunews/43503.html
  9. 运行时间: 2.8884
  10. 内存开销: 1.74 MB
  1. #0 [time:0.0001s] SET character_set_connection=utf8mb4, character_set_results=utf8mb4, character_set_client=binary, sql_mode=''
  2. #1 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_runtime WHERE k='cfg' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  3. #2 [time:0.0004s] SELECT * FROM le_runtime WHERE k='cate_1' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  4. #3 [time:0.0004s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article WHERE id='43503' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  5. #4 [time:0.0004s] SELECT * FROM le_kv WHERE k='le_rand_pic' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  6. #5 [time:0.0005s] SELECT * FROM le_user WHERE uid='1' LIMIT 1 [explain type: system | rows: 1]
  7. #6 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article_data WHERE id='43503' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  8. #7 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article_views WHERE id='43503' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  9. #8 [time:0.0012s] UPDATE LOW_PRIORITY le_cms_article_views SET views=views+1 WHERE id='43503' LIMIT 1
  10. #9 [time:0.0002s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_article WHERE cid='1' AND id<'43503' ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 0,1 [explain type: range | rows: 21732]
  11. #10 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article WHERE id='43502' [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  12. #11 [time:0.0002s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_article WHERE cid='1' AND id>'43503' ORDER BY id ASC LIMIT 0,1 [explain type: range | rows: 23063]
  13. #12 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article WHERE id='43506' [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  14. #13 [time:0.0001s] SELECT * FROM le_runtime WHERE k='cate_3' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  15. #14 [time:0.0003s] SELECT flag,id FROM le_cms_liansai_flag WHERE flag='1' AND cid='3' ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 0,2 [explain type: ref | rows: 5]
  16. #15 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_liansai_flag WHERE flag='1' AND id='2618' OR flag='1' AND id='2592' [explain type: ref | rows: 1]
  17. #16 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_liansai WHERE id='2618' OR id='2592' [explain type: range | rows: 2]
  18. #17 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_kv WHERE k='navigate' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  19. #18 [time:0.0001s] SELECT cid FROM le_category ORDER BY orderby ASC ,cid ASC [explain type: ALL | rows: 12]
  20. #19 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_category WHERE cid='1' OR cid='2' OR cid='3' OR cid='4' OR cid='5' OR cid='6' OR cid='7' OR cid='8' OR cid='9' OR cid='10' OR cid='11' OR cid='12' [explain type: ALL | rows: 12]
  21. #20 [time:0.0001s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_liansai ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 0,12 [explain type: index | rows: 12]
  22. #21 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_liansai WHERE id='2697' OR id='2696' OR id='2695' OR id='2694' OR id='2693' OR id='2692' OR id='2691' OR id='2690' OR id='2689' OR id='2688' OR id='2687' OR id='2686' [explain type: range | rows: 12]
  23. #22 [time:0.0001s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_live ORDER BY id ASC LIMIT 0,10 [explain type: index | rows: 10]
  24. #23 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_live WHERE id='1' OR id='2' OR id='3' OR id='4' OR id='5' OR id='6' OR id='7' OR id='8' OR id='9' OR id='10' [explain type: range | rows: 10]
  1. #control => show
  2. #action => index
  3. #cid => 1
  4. #id => 43503
  5. #mid => 2
    1. #PHPSESSID => qaj39vnhdo7ra4c8v787oiiqk8
    1. #0 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/index.php
    2. #1 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/xiunophp.php
    3. #2 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/config/config.inc.php
    4. #3 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/base.func.php
    5. #4 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/core.class.php
    6. #5 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/debug.class.php
    7. #6 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/log.class.php
    8. #7 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/model.class.php
    9. #8 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/view.class.php
    10. #9 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/control.class.php
    11. #10 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/db/db.interface.php
    12. #11 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/db/db_mysqli.class.php
    13. #12 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/cache/cache.interface.php
    14. #13 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/cache/cache_memcache.class.php
    15. #14 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/ext/network/Network__interface.php
    16. #15 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/config/plugin.inc.php
    17. #16 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/editor_um/conf.php
    18. #17 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_drafts/conf.php
    19. #18 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_import_txt/conf.php
    20. #19 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_links/conf.php
    21. #20 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_rand_pic/conf.php
    22. #21 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_sitemaps_pro_v303/conf.php
    23. #22 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_title_pic/conf.php
    24. #23 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_website_group/conf.php
    25. #24 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_zhanqunsitemaps_pro_v303/conf.php
    26. #25 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/models_filed/conf.php
    27. #26 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/misc.func.php
    28. #27 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/core_lang/zh-cn.php
    29. #28 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lang/zh-cn.php
    30. #29 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_control/parseurl_control.class.php
    31. #30 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/runtime_model.class.php
    32. #31 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_control/show_control.class.php
    33. #32 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_control/base_control.class.php
    34. #33 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/urls_model.class.php
    35. #34 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/category_model.class.php
    36. #35 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_model.class.php
    37. #36 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_view/default,article_show.htm.php
    38. #37 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_data_model.class.php
    39. #38 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/kv_model.class.php
    40. #39 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_tag_model.class.php
    41. #40 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/user_model.class.php
    42. #41 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_views_model.class.php
    43. #42 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_flag_model.class.php
    44. #43 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/ext/utf8.class.php
    45. #44 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/tpl/sys_trace.php
    1. #0 utf8 类