CBA季后赛辽宁vs青岛

  • 时间：2026-02-11|
  • 来源：55

当卫冕冠军辽宁遇上新锐黑马青岛，这场季后赛注定要擦出火花。两队常规赛三次交手两次打到最后时刻，韦瑟斯庞与弗格的王牌对决、杨瀚森与韩德君的新老碰撞，都让这场系列赛充满看点。

一、常规赛交手复盘

  • 青岛双杀辽宁：1月12日青岛主场103-100险胜，韦瑟斯庞25+8+11准三双‌；10月28日青岛96-79大胜，杨瀚森内线统治力尽显‌
  • 辽宁唯一胜场：10月22日主场106-83大胜，弗格30分+3抢断carry全场‌

有意思的是，三场对决都出现单节分差超10分的情况，说明两队都存在状态波动。特别是辽宁队在赵继伟缺阵时，进攻组织明显滞涩‌，这或许会成为季后赛隐患。

二、X因素解析

1. 王牌对轰

  • 韦瑟斯庞：近5战场均32.2分+9.4助攻，三分命中率稳定在35%左右‌
  • 弗格：赛季三分命中率38%，但面对青岛高强度防守时命中率下滑至31%‌

这两位外援的发挥就像温度计，直接决定球队上限。特别是韦瑟斯庞在关键时刻的大心脏表现，多次在胶着时刻用突破分球撕开防线‌。

2. 内线博弈

球员场均篮板盖帽投篮命中率
韩德君8.21.558%
杨瀚森10.12.361%

年轻气盛的杨瀚森在常规赛对决中，多次利用脚步晃开韩德君完成暴扣‌。但老将的经验不容小觑，韩德君卡位时的小动作和假摔，往往能骗到关键犯规。

三、胜负手预判

  1. 板凳深度：辽宁替补场均得42.3分（联盟第2）vs 青岛36.8分（第7）
  2. 关键球处理：最后3分钟分差5分内时，辽宁胜率78%远超青岛的63%‌
  3. 主场优势：辽宁本赛季主场胜率91%，青岛客场胜率仅57%‌

值得注意的是，青岛队本赛季三分命中率从常规赛的35%提升至季后赛首轮的41%，这个火力升级可能会打乱辽宁的防守部署‌。

这场新老势力的碰撞，既有肌肉碰撞的传统篮球美学，也暗藏三分雨下的现代攻防。究竟是辽宁队凭借经验卫冕，还是青岛青年军用速度改写历史，咱们拭目以待！

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