普利茅斯vs威科姆预测

  • 时间：2026-02-11|
  • 来源：75

本场英甲焦点战，普利茅斯与威科姆的较量充满悬念。本文将从两队近期表现、战术特点、关键球员及历史交锋等多个维度深入分析，结合攻防数据和场地因素，为读者呈现专业且易懂的赛前预测，助您看懂这场关乎积分排名的关键战役。

一、两队近况扫描

先来说说普利茅斯吧，这支球队最近的状态就像坐过山车似的。上个月他们刚终结了连续五轮不胜的尴尬记录，可转眼间又在客场被中游球队逼平。主场战绩倒是他们的亮点，近三个月保持着75%的不败率，特别是中锋史密斯那1米9的大个子，头球争顶成功率全联赛第三，这会不会成为破局的关键呢？


反观威科姆这边，情况就有点微妙了。虽然他们目前比普利茅斯多积4分，但仔细看赛程会发现，过去三场胜利都来自下半区球队。更值得注意的是，客场作战时他们的控球率会骤降12%，中场核心詹姆斯还带着轻伤，这会不会影响他们的组织串联？

二、战术显微镜

1. 攻防转换对比

  • 普利茅斯偏爱4-2-3-1阵型，场均冲刺跑动距离位列联赛前五
  • 威科姆则采用3-5-2体系，高空球防守成功率高达68%
  • 双方本赛季首次交手时，禁区外远射合计达15次

2. 关键对位解析

这里有个特别有意思的数据：普利茅斯的左边锋汤普森，刚好和威科姆的右后卫威尔逊在青年队做过队友。这两人知根知底的较量，可能会直接影响边路走廊的主动权。对了，汤普森本赛季已经送出7次助攻，而威尔逊的抢断成功率是...

三、历史数据密码

翻看过去五年的交锋记录，发现个耐人寻味的规律——主场优势在这组对决中格外明显。双方最近8次碰面，主队拿下其中6场胜利。不过去年足总杯那场2-2的进球大战，倒是打破了"小球魔咒"，当时两队门将都出现了低级失误。


还有个细节值得注意：当比赛在雨天进行时，威科姆的胜率会提升20%。查了下天气预报，比赛日可能有零星小雨，这会不会成为X因素呢？

四、胜负天平倾斜点

  1. 普利茅斯需要激活定位球战术，他们角球转化率比对手高15%
  2. 威科姆必须限制对方边路传中，本赛季因此失球占比达43%
  3. 替补席深度可能决定后30分钟走势，客队的替补进球数多3个

最后说说个人看法吧，虽然数据模型显示平局概率有38%，但考虑到普利茅斯急需积分保级，加上主场球迷山呼海啸的助

相关标签

热门直播

3.7642
关
大
基本信息
SQL
$_GET
$_POST
$_COOKIE
包含文件
自动加载
  1. 模型: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/model/
  2. 视图: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/view/default/article_show.htm
  3. 控制器: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/control/show_control.class.php
  4. 日志目录: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/log/
  5. 当前页面: /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/index.php
  6. 当前时间: 2026-02-12 11:06:48
  7. 当前网协: 216.73.216.2
  8. 请求路径: /nbanews/45455.html
  9. 运行时间: 3.7642
  10. 内存开销: 1.74 MB
  1. #0 [time:0.0001s] SET character_set_connection=utf8mb4, character_set_results=utf8mb4, character_set_client=binary, sql_mode=''
  2. #1 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_runtime WHERE k='cfg' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  3. #2 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_runtime WHERE k='cate_2' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  4. #3 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article WHERE id='45455' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  5. #4 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_kv WHERE k='le_rand_pic' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  6. #5 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_user WHERE uid='1' LIMIT 1 [explain type: system | rows: 1]
  7. #6 [time:0.0001s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article_data WHERE id='45455' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  8. #7 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article_views WHERE id='45455' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  9. #8 [time:0.0012s] UPDATE LOW_PRIORITY le_cms_article_views SET views=views+1 WHERE id='45455' LIMIT 1
  10. #9 [time:0.0003s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_article WHERE cid='2' AND id<'45455' ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 0,1 [explain type: range | rows: 22934]
  11. #10 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article WHERE id='45454' [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  12. #11 [time:0.0002s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_article WHERE cid='2' AND id>'45455' ORDER BY id ASC LIMIT 0,1 [explain type: range | rows: 23476]
  13. #12 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_article WHERE id='45458' [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  14. #13 [time:0.0001s] SELECT * FROM le_runtime WHERE k='cate_3' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  15. #14 [time:0.0003s] SELECT flag,id FROM le_cms_liansai_flag WHERE flag='1' AND cid='3' ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 0,2 [explain type: ref | rows: 5]
  16. #15 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_liansai_flag WHERE flag='1' AND id='2618' OR flag='1' AND id='2592' [explain type: ref | rows: 1]
  17. #16 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_liansai WHERE id='2618' OR id='2592' [explain type: range | rows: 2]
  18. #17 [time:0.0001s] SELECT * FROM le_kv WHERE k='navigate' LIMIT 1 [explain type: const | rows: 1]
  19. #18 [time:0.0001s] SELECT cid FROM le_category ORDER BY orderby ASC ,cid ASC [explain type: ALL | rows: 12]
  20. #19 [time:0.0002s] SELECT * FROM le_category WHERE cid='1' OR cid='2' OR cid='3' OR cid='4' OR cid='5' OR cid='6' OR cid='7' OR cid='8' OR cid='9' OR cid='10' OR cid='11' OR cid='12' [explain type: ALL | rows: 12]
  21. #20 [time:0.0001s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_liansai ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 0,12 [explain type: index | rows: 12]
  22. #21 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_liansai WHERE id='2697' OR id='2696' OR id='2695' OR id='2694' OR id='2693' OR id='2692' OR id='2691' OR id='2690' OR id='2689' OR id='2688' OR id='2687' OR id='2686' [explain type: range | rows: 12]
  23. #22 [time:0.0001s] SELECT id FROM le_cms_live ORDER BY id ASC LIMIT 0,10 [explain type: index | rows: 10]
  24. #23 [time:0.0003s] SELECT * FROM le_cms_live WHERE id='1' OR id='2' OR id='3' OR id='4' OR id='5' OR id='6' OR id='7' OR id='8' OR id='9' OR id='10' [explain type: range | rows: 10]
  1. #control => show
  2. #action => index
  3. #cid => 2
  4. #id => 45455
  5. #mid => 2
    1. #PHPSESSID => fda7hqhcic6h1nm5o68qgtv2ok
    1. #0 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/index.php
    2. #1 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/xiunophp.php
    3. #2 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/config/config.inc.php
    4. #3 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/base.func.php
    5. #4 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/core.class.php
    6. #5 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/debug.class.php
    7. #6 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/log.class.php
    8. #7 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/model.class.php
    9. #8 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/view.class.php
    10. #9 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/lib/control.class.php
    11. #10 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/db/db.interface.php
    12. #11 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/db/db_mysqli.class.php
    13. #12 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/cache/cache.interface.php
    14. #13 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/cache/cache_memcache.class.php
    15. #14 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/ext/network/Network__interface.php
    16. #15 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/config/plugin.inc.php
    17. #16 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/editor_um/conf.php
    18. #17 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_drafts/conf.php
    19. #18 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_import_txt/conf.php
    20. #19 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_links/conf.php
    21. #20 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_rand_pic/conf.php
    22. #21 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_sitemaps_pro_v303/conf.php
    23. #22 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_title_pic/conf.php
    24. #23 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_website_group/conf.php
    25. #24 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/le_zhanqunsitemaps_pro_v303/conf.php
    26. #25 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/plugin/models_filed/conf.php
    27. #26 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/misc.func.php
    28. #27 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/core_lang/zh-cn.php
    29. #28 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lang/zh-cn.php
    30. #29 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_control/parseurl_control.class.php
    31. #30 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/runtime_model.class.php
    32. #31 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_control/show_control.class.php
    33. #32 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_control/base_control.class.php
    34. #33 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/urls_model.class.php
    35. #34 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/category_model.class.php
    36. #35 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_model.class.php
    37. #36 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_view/default,article_show.htm.php
    38. #37 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_data_model.class.php
    39. #38 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/kv_model.class.php
    40. #39 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_tag_model.class.php
    41. #40 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/user_model.class.php
    42. #41 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_views_model.class.php
    43. #42 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/runcache/lecms_model/cms_content_flag_model.class.php
    44. #43 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/ext/utf8.class.php
    45. #44 /www/wwwroot/www.dkuki.cn/lecms/xiunophp/tpl/sys_trace.php
    1. #0 utf8 类