球趣网 英足总杯利物浦vs埃弗顿前瞻

  • 时间：2026-02-11|
  • 来源：79

这场默西塞德郡德比将首次在温布利大球场展开较量。利物浦坐拥英超榜首的强势地位，但近期杯赛出局的阴影仍未消散；埃弗顿则带着保级压力下的求生欲，试图在死敌主场制造惊喜。究竟谁能在这场火药味十足的较量中笑到最后？

一、历史恩怨与德比魔咒

自1892年以来，两队交手记录达到240次，但英足总杯正赛相遇仅5次。有趣的是，埃弗顿近三次杯赛遭遇红军均保持不败‌。去年12月联赛交锋中，埃弗顿甚至在控球率仅23%的情况下2-0爆冷取胜，这给本场赛事埋下悬念‌。不过利物浦本赛季主场胜率高达79%，安菲尔德堪称埃弗顿的噩梦之地‌。

二、战术博弈关键点

  • 利物浦的边路杀招：萨拉赫领衔的锋线本赛季已轰入69球，右路走廊的阿诺德缺席可能影响传中质量，但罗伯逊的复苏让左路进攻更具威胁‌
  • 埃弗顿的钢铁防线：莫耶斯打造的5-4-1阵型近期10场仅失9球，但主力中卫米科伦科伤缺可能成为致命漏洞‌
  • 定位球攻防战：埃弗顿40%的进球来自定位球，而利物浦本赛季被对手通过角球破门达7次，这将成为胜负天平的重要砝码‌

三、关键先生对决

萨拉赫vs皮克福德
埃及法老本赛季27球的恐怖数据背后，是面对埃弗顿时连续4场哑火的尴尬。而皮克福德近5次德比战完成21次扑救，堪称红军克星‌
贝托vs范戴克
埃弗顿新援中锋本赛季7次头球破门位列英超第一，将与争顶成功率83%的荷兰铁卫上演空战博弈‌

四、胜负手与变数

利物浦的中场轮换值得关注——赫拉芬贝赫能否复出将决定中场控制力，而埃弗顿方面，勒温等7名主力伤缺可能迫使莫耶斯启用青年军‌。有趣的是，红军本赛季输球后的下一场场均净胜2.3球，上轮联赛杯失利后的反弹态势值得警惕‌。

综合来看，利物浦主场优势和阵容深度更占上风，但埃弗顿的防守韧性和德比战经验不容小觑。考虑到红军近期双线作战的体能消耗，本场可能出现大开大合的攻防转换，预计比分2-1或3-1，利物浦小胜晋级可能性较高‌。

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